|News and opinions on situation in the Middle East|
|30/11/03||Balance of Power by Gilad Atzmon|
|Date: Sun, 30 Nov 2003 14:31:24 +0200
Subject: [shamireaders] Balance of Power by Gilad Atzmon
Intro by Israel Shamir
Israel and its supporters declared Iran being their next target, for this country considers to obtain nuclear weapons. An article at the end gives details of the US-Israel plans to do to Iran what they did to Iraq: sanctions, isolation, and eventually attack. European states agreed to assume a less-than-honorable job of banderilleros, in order to prepare the Persian bull for the American coup-de-grace.
We have two options in our approach - we may claim that it is not proven that Iran wants to possess nuclear weapons; this approach was tried concerning Iraq, and failed. The second approach is proposed now by a friend of this list, Gilad Atzmon: Yes to Nuclear Armament of Iran. This position appears a better one; as long as Israel possesses nuclear weapons, it is the only reasonable one.
Indeed, as we all know today, Iraq never presented any threat to the US. If it were, Americans would never attack it, as they did not attack USSR, Japan, Germany or China. The great superpower has a heart of hyena: it attacks only small and vulnerable enemies. The Americans never learned to fight their own weight. Like vicious punks, they are used to kick weak and defenceless, lying down, preferably tied-up adversary. Their cowardice and lack of chivalry are exemplified by their attack on a tiny island of Granada, on poorest Afghanistan and Sudan, on defenceless Panama. It is not coincidence they are the best friends of Israel, this world leader in child murder.
That is why, paradoxically, the best protection for the world's peace lays in proliferation of the nuclear weapons. Once, while the Soviet Union acted as a protector and guarantor of the Third World, it was not necessary. In those days, one could march for nuclear disarmament. But now, the nations of the world must go nuclear, in order to regain the deterrence.
If Iraq would have an arsenal of A-bombs, this beautiful country would not be occupied. For the countries of the Middle East, for Iran, Saudi Arabia and Egypt it is the right time to co-operate. Despite their differences, they have one thing in common: they are targeted by the Jewish Lobby, vide the Murawiec's affair.
One country, singled out by Bush and his Zionist speechwriters as 'Axis of Evil', understood it first. North Korea succeeded to develop its own nuclear weapons. The US representatives demanded from Korea to disarm for it is difficult to destroy a nuclear power. Koreans rightly refised.
Now, the US promotes the question of inspectors to be sent to Iran. Under American pressure, the leading powers gave up the discussion whether it is justified or even useful. We should renew this discussion. Until the UN inspectors will be allowed to visit Dimona and Ness Tsiona, until the Israeli arsenal of WMD is dismantled, there is no reason to single out Iran or Korea. The countries of the Third World should leave the Non-Proliferation Treaty, as it does not protect them anymore.
About 'World Peace' -Gilad Atzmon
Now, when it is beyond doubt that the Anglo-American (the English speaking world) 'war against terror' is leading to self-defeat, there is one simple strategic alternative that would make this planet a much safer place. The first lesson one learns when attending an introductory course in international affairs is that the balance of power and the power of deterrence are the most crucial ingredients for peace. The cold war showed this. America and USSR never engaged in a direct conflict. They simply had too much to lose.
If 'world peace' is our main concern, we must achieve a balance of power, we must let the oppressed people of this world have access to the most advanced weaponry. If the Palestinians, for example, were equipped with the latest anti air missiles, anti tank missiles, cluster bombes and cruise missiles, there would be no need for foreign intervention in the Israeli/Palestinian conflict. The Palestinian militant would not have to carry out any martyrdom operations in the centre of Tel Aviv. Like the Mujahideen who crashed the Soviet army and the Vietcong who defeated the Americans, the Palestinian would punish the Israeli soldiers and concentrate solely on them. They would shoot down the Jewish combat airplanes and would destroy the Israeli tanks as soon as they entered the Gaza strip. Soon the Jewish state would have to pursue every possible option to achieve peace with the Palestinian people while addressing the 'Palestinian right of return'.
Balance of power is the only key to peace. Islamic militants, when equipped with the right weaponry, would concentrate on Anglo-American military targets. They would never kill civilians or attack what the Americans call 'soft targets'. The Islamic struggle is about liberation not about bloodthirstiness. It isn't about a culture clash or about war against our values. Anyway, the only values we have are 'market values', basically the price of oil. We can't fool ourselves anymore. In the age of 'Guantanamo Bay ' and continuous killing of thousands of Iraqi and Afghani civilians, we cannot claim to have 'values' to defend.
If Islamic militants could practically endanger our existence we would have to listen to them with great respect. We would then have to look for a genuine means towards reconciliation. I suggest that we allow the Iranians to be as nuclear as we are, we leave Syria alone, we must help the Palestinians become as armed as their Israeli enemy. We should be living in a world that embraces the notion of 'balance of power'. I assume that the key to peace therefore is to dismantle the hegemony of America, Britain and Israel. There are different ways to achieve such an aim. Supporting the strength of the European Union is an obvious one, opposing America and Israel is another. In all this, the impeachment of Mr Blair and Bush is necessary. We can not anymore expect those evils to have enough dignity to resign.
Israel: Iran is now danger No. 1 US, Britain, France, and Germany threatened Iran on Monday with sanctions over its nuclear program.By Nicole Gaouette | Staff writer of The Christian Science Monitor
JERUSALEM - Even as the US and European nations press Iran harder to comply with international law on its nuclear program, Israel is moving ahead with its own program to check its powerful Middle Eastern neighbor.
Israel is working on a wide range of measures to undermine Iran's nuclear program, with senior leaders hinting that Israel may take preemptive action if that is deemed necessary. Analysts here suggest that action may include a strike similar to Israel's 1981 attack on Iraq's Osirak reactor.
The Israeli initiative includes political, military, and intelligence wings of government and dovetails with US efforts to contain Iran within the framework of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA).
The effort reflects the widespread assessment here that Iran poses a greater threat than Iraq has for the past decade and is gaining nuclear expertise more quickly than the US estimates.
"Iran has a clandestine [nuclear] program that is very ambitious," says Uzi Arad, director of the Institute of Policy and Strategy in Herzilya. "That country thinks big and fast and ... poses a threat that is very real. Should it acquire nuclear weapons or even come close, it would completely alter the Middle East. It's a very ominous threat."
Analysts here argue that the prospect of a nuclear Iran would:
Threaten Israeli, US, and European security.
Harden Arab positions in any future peace negotiations.
Increase militancy and embolden hard-liners.
Destabilize the Gulf area.
And encourage other countries, such as Saudi Arabia and Libya, to follow suit.
History of Iranian concealment
The US, Britain, France, and Germany say that Iran has been concealing nuclear research for the past 18 years in pursuit of nuclear weapons, despite signing the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty (NPT) in 1970.
On Monday, the four nations agreed on a strongly worded IAEA resolution promoted by the US that threatens the possibility of UN sanctions should Iran continue to violate its agreements.
The US charges that Iran is also developing chemical and biological weapons, though the country is party to conventions curbing them. Furthermore, both the US and Israel say that Iran is trying to extend the range of its missiles, which could be used to develop such weapons.
Already, the 810-mile reach of Iran's Shahab-3 missile puts Israel and US forces in the region in striking range. The US charges that Iran will probably try to develop missiles capable of hitting Western Europe or the US itself.
Iran has admitted to concealing aspects of its atomic energy program, but says it is pursuing alternate energy sources, a claim the State Department dismissed as "simply not credible."
In testimony to the US-Israeli Joint Parliamentary Committee in September, State Department official Paula DeSutter said, "The impact of a nuclear-armed Iran in an already volatile region cannot be underestimated. As President Bush had made clear, that cannot be allowed to happen."
Israeli officials have echoed that declaration. In November, Israeli media reported that Defense Minister Shaul Mofaz, on a trip to Washington, told US officials that "under no circumstances would Israel be able to abide by nuclear weapons in Iranian possession.
"'Existential threat' to Israel?
Meir Dagan, director of Israel's external intelligence agency, the Mossad, told a parliamentary committee this month that Iran posed an "existential threat" to Israel, according to the Yedioth Ahronoth newspaper. He reportedly assured committee members that Israel could deal with this threat.
Like the US, Israel estimates that Iran is three to four years away from building a nuclear bomb. But Israel believes that in 2004, Iran will reach the point at which their nuclear program cannot be stopped.
On the same US trip, Mr. Mofaz told a pro-Israeli lobby group that a nuclear Iran was "intolerable."
"The implicit message of his statements was that if the Iranian nuclear program is not stopped in the next number of months, Israel will have to take action of its own - perhaps even to attack - to prevent nuclear weapons from falling into Iranian hands," analyst Amir Rappaport wrote in the Ma'ariv newspaper.
It would not be the first time Israel has taken preemptive action against a perceived threat. In 1981, Israeli fighter jets launched a successful surprise attack on Iraq's Osirak reactor, destroying it.
A push against Iran on all fronts
In the meantime, Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon has upgraded Israel's efforts against Iran's nuclear program by putting all related committees under Mr. Dagan's command. Mr. Sharon himself will head a ministerial committee.
In this multipronged effort, Israel's foreign ministry will launch a diplomatic campaign to persuade other countries to work against Iran's nuclear program. The Mossad will work with foreign intelligence agencies, the National Security Council will work with the US-Israeli Joint Committee, and Israel's atomic energy body will focus on technical aspects of Iran's program and work with the IAEA.
Israel's concern about Iran stems from the country's proximity, its longstanding hostility to Israel, and its support for groups like Lebanese Hizbullah, Hamas, and Islamic Jihad.
While these groups launch attacks on Israel and its citizens with Iranian support, some analysts here say there remains the potential for direct confrontation between the nations of Iran and Israel.
Zeev Maghen, a senior research associate at Bar Ilan University near Tel Aviv who studies Iran, disagrees, but he acknowledges, "The amount of hostility that has built up in the world in general, and the Islamic world in particular, against my country might push someone over the edge."
"We're the pariah country," Mr. Maghen adds.
A nuclear Iran would also erode Israel's strategic edge. Israel's military, the world's 14th largest by budget, according to the Center for Defense Information, is vastly superior to any of its Middle East counterparts. Israel is also widely understood to have an arsenal of nuclear and other weapons, though officials deny this. It is not a signatory to the NPT.
"Israel has kept an ambiguous posture about this," says Mr. Arad, "but clearly, should Iran become nuclear, it would clearly be an adverse development. The country supports terrorism, has taken a militant line against the peace process, is hostile to the US, and is active in anti-American attacks [in Iraq]. It clearly poses a very serious threat to everybody."
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