|Under siege? William Bowles (31/07/03)|
Look, I know that the revolution is not around the corner, but it is true to say that the New Imperium, barely a dozen years old, is already under siege, and experiencing a serious crisis in credibility and its subsequent ability to carry out its mission of re-colonising the planet.
We have Bush/Blah finally admitting that theyre having a hard time convincing the public why they invaded Iraq. And with every passing day, we see them retreating on virtually every front that they have used to justify invasion and actually admitting (if in a roundabout way) that things are not panning out the way they said it would.
In Blah we trust?
And interestingly, given the amount of energy expended in the UK, it is precisely on the issue of whether Blah can be trusted or not, that we see cracks appearing in what was the arrogant face of empire, intent on putting its stamp on a world which militarily at least, is unable to resist.
So now Bush/Blah, somewhat battered and bruised from the past few months, are hoping (and no doubt praying to their God) that something will go right for them, and soon. But its unlikely, and for the following reasons:
Niger; 45 minutes; Kelly, 9/11; the increasing resistance on the ground in Iraq; the disastrous PR resulting from the execution of the Hussein brothers; the road map, which increasingly looks like the scene of a multi-vehicle pile-up; the Iran and North Korea fiascos, which the imperium has failed miserably to sell an increasingly sceptical public (largely because of its failed Iraq policies). And finally, the cynical position of the US over Liberia, all have contributed to a major problem that without some kind of reappraisal of policy, the New Imperium is unlikely to resolve.
And given the vice-like grip the Beltway bandits have over USUK policies, what are the chances of a change, if not in direction, then in tactics? Short of another 9/11 with even more devastating consequences for the metropolitan populations, its difficult to see what options the New Imperium has available to it. And in a sense, its been hoisted by its own pétard, for either, it will have to successfully pre-empt another 9/11-type attack or, it will be revealed as being utterly inept at defending its citizens and questions, already being asked about 9/11, will be only rise in volume and insistence.
It reveals just how vulnerable the Imperium is to the weaknesses of a strategy that is based almost entirely on the Big Lie. The Beltway Bandits obviously didnt finish reading their Goebbels primer. Maybe their arrogance has finally gotten the better of them.
The Fourth Reich DC style? Not likely
And mutterings in the ranks of the centurians are growing as their newly colonised subjects pick them off, one at a time. This is not the way the war was sold to them. Unlike previous empires, which could enlist the complicity of its legions purely on the basis of imperial might and personal gain, a massive propaganda campaign had to be mounted in order to garner the support of the citizens in the business of empire-building. A threat of massive proportions had to be engineered; the basic rights of citizens removed; Murdochs global media empire enlisted, but even with all this, they have failed, and they know it.
Without an obvious enemy, and even more importantly, without a population who can be relied upon to rally round the flag as with virtually all the major wars and adventures of previous centuries, selling the Empire is proving to be anything but easy to do. The cakewalk has turned into a quagmire.
Its quite obvious that the strategists and planners of Whitehall and Pennsylvannia Avenue have not actually grasped just how different things are these days. They should listen more to the established voices of the capitalist class such as the Economist, who back in 1991, predicted that the fall of Soviet Empire would prove to be disastrous for the West. "We need a competitor" their front page cried as they mourned the passing of the USSR.
Jobs for the boys
But the good old days are gone for good. Distributed, global production, automation and the maquiladoras put paid to that. Hence, aside from cheap gasoline (and then only in the US), the metropolitan subjects have little to gain and much to lose from the schemes of their political leaders and the corporations who pay them to take back what they lost in the liberation struggles of the 20th century.
Exposing the scams
From the perspective then, of organising opposition to the re-colonising programme of the New Imperium, its clear that the focus should be on who actually gains from empire and who (aside obviously, from the re-colonised) loses? Carlyle, Halliburton, Boeing, Shell, Exxon, Microsoft, General Dynamics, BAE et al, in other words, only a handful of giant corporations who have a vested interest in Bush/Blah, are the only ones to gain from the New Imperium. Exposing these connections and the phony rationale of the war on terror has to be central to any viable opposition to the pirates plans.
Learning the lessons
And in turn, this led to our inability to capitalize on, and follow through with, a viable post-invasion strategy. After all, short of some kind of global uprising against the Imperium (not a realistic option) it was obvious to me anyway, the invasion was a done deal years ago. It was just a question of when and how it was carried out. But the UN option has been expended by the New Imperium. Indeed, many of the options previously available to the pirates have been used up. This is both a plus and a minus. A plus because it reduces their room for manueverability and a minus because it increases their state of desperation.
The coming period is most critical. Either pressure is maintained and increased on the Bush/Blah clique or, we will lose the momentum gained from the serious strategic and tactical errors they have committed, which will allow them time to regroup and develop a viable counter-offensive.
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