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Latest publications from 22-28 November, 2009

2009-11-26
Andrei GANZHA (Ukraine)
Turkish Gas Gambit
“Turkey will grant Russia the license to perform explorations in its Black Sea exclusive marine zone in connection with the South Stream gas pipeline project. For Ukraine, the decision is a classic dare il gambetto…The plans jointly formulated by Russia and Turkey appear serious. In any case, the market reacted to them accordingly…”
en.fondsk.ru/article.php?id=2601

2009-11-22
Aurobinda MAHAPATRA (India)
Kashmir, South Asian Security Challenges and China
“The joint US-China statement on the eve of US President Barack Obama’s visit to China last week has sparked a furious debate in South Asia. The statement called for joint endeavor on part of both the countries to step up measures for peace and development in South Asia… What prompted the US and China to include South Asia in their joint statement particularly India and Pakistan is yet unclear…”
en.fondsk.ru/article.php?id=2602

2009-11-23
Andrei NOVATSKI (Ukraine)
Anticipation of a New Gas Conflict
“The upcoming presidential elections in Ukraine and the bulk of problems centered around Naftohaz are tightly interwoven, and progress would be hard to achieve in the not-so-distant future… It is likely that Ukraine will be able to mobilize enough money to keep paying for gas till the end of the year despite the challenging situation confronting it. Yet, the outlook for the period between the first round of the presidential elections (January 17) and the runoff (February 17) which will see the main clashes between the front-runners… is dire…”
en.fondsk.ru/article.php?id=2603

2009-11-26
Yuriy RUBTSOV
Russia`s military doctrine: nukes as most weighty argument in strategic deterrence
“What is especially important about Russia`s new military doctrine is that it allows to use nuclear weapons to repel aggression if an enemy applies conventional weapons in a large-scale war. If the national security happens to face a serious threat, Russia does not rule out a possibility of a nuclear attack, including a preemptive one, against an aggressor in either large-scale or regional war. Actually, we see that Russia has lowered a threshold of nuclear deterrence. Thus, Russia`s nuclear strategy starts to resemble more that of the United States…”
en.fondsk.ru/article.php?id=2606

2009-11-23
M.K. BHADRAKUMAR (India)
India modernizes its American ties
“There is a high degree of bewilderment bordering on angst in the Indian mind about the Barack Obama administration’s “reset” of the US regional policies… The Delhi strategists now realize that not only for now but also for the foreseeable future, it is Pakistan that would occupy centrality in the US policies… Equally, there is better awareness in Delhi that the war in Afghanistan is not merely about hunting down Osama bin Laden but is also a Clausewitzean war with an agenda towards Central Asia, Russia, China and Iran…”
en.fondsk.ru/article.php?id=2607

2009-11-25
David KERANS (USA)
US Military Rot: New Dimensions and New Dangers
“The enormity of US military budgets is no secret… From 9-11 to 2005 the defense budgets jumped 40% – not including direct costs of conflict in Afghanistan and Iraq – and have continued to rise quickly from there.Current military spending and interest payments on debt from past wars now absorbs about 45% of the Federal budget… A flourishing culture of corruption accompanies the escalating defense budgets, and motivates well placed politicians to resist reform of the system…”
en.fondsk.ru/article.php?id=2609